Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.428761 0.494978 0.567099 0.651360 0.746977 0.851979 0.975888
2025-08-31 0.304098 0.391127 0.495407 0.628987 0.794931 0.993621 1.248810
2025-09-07 0.256559 0.356982 0.485886 0.662191 0.895571 1.192242 1.595987
2025-09-14 0.206929 0.308039 0.445669 0.644611 0.922294 1.293177 1.822421
2025-09-21 0.170585 0.269662 0.411710 0.627234 0.942235 1.381258 2.033635
2025-09-28 0.143561 0.239753 0.384328 0.613480 0.962475 1.467602 2.245498
2025-10-05 0.128821 0.225923 0.378096 0.628744 1.024456 1.616284 2.556221
2025-10-12 0.119940 0.219902 0.382587 0.659964 1.112153 1.808401 2.944659
2025-10-19 0.109428 0.209471 0.378344 0.675979 1.176297 1.968228 3.294302
2025-10-26 0.098770 0.197167 0.369240 0.682357 1.224374 2.105178 3.616482
2025-11-02 0.088391 0.183839 0.356601 0.680850 1.258228 2.220459 3.910367
2025-11-09 0.078241 0.169473 0.340306 0.670810 1.275775 2.308968 4.164805
2025-11-16 0.069262 0.156366 0.325182 0.661937 1.295641 2.404717 4.441993
2025-11-23 0.059904 0.141151 0.304301 0.640112 1.290103 2.456239 4.647332
2025-11-30 0.057629 0.140592 0.312032 0.673921 1.390376 2.701416 5.209445
2025-12-07 0.050526 0.128363 0.294656 0.656061 1.390381 2.764895 5.448876
2025-12-14 0.044364 0.117308 0.278331 0.638400 1.388725 2.824358 5.683779
2025-12-21 0.039275 0.107982 0.264547 0.624421 1.392781 2.894139 5.941551
2025-12-28 0.036944 0.105054 0.264558 0.639934 1.458166 3.085768 6.442751
2026-01-04 0.035906 0.105248 0.271668 0.671663 1.559787 3.354627 7.109394
2026-01-11 0.033909 0.102643 0.271930 0.687939 1.629650 3.564554 7.672583
2026-01-18 0.031493 0.098541 0.268125 0.694420 1.678612 3.735085 8.167053
2026-01-25 0.028866 0.093435 0.261240 0.692889 1.709500 3.870035 8.596891